Campbell's Condensed Stats!

He wears pink wellies when he's riding out; for a jockey he has a singing voice to rival any X-factor winner (is that a compliment?!) and he also owns a little Jack Russell that wanders about the yard showing no fear to the monstrous beasts that surround him!

Obviously the young man in question here is Lucinda Russell's young jockey Campbell Gillies. The jockey displayed his talents on terrestrial TV on 'Super Saturday' when failing by the agonising distance of a head on Safari Adventures to hold off the Barry Geraghty ridden Polyfast in the class 3 chase at Kempton that opened Channel 4's 'King George' day coverage.

I've been fortunate enough to watch young Campbell at close quarters in the schooling ring and it's obvious to me this is a jockey going places. Along with his seemingly natural talent for producing a horse beautifully at an obstacle he is also showing his talents on the track for being a fine judge of pace. Again Safari Adventure at Kempton is a fine example of this along with his brilliantly executed ride on Nelliedonethat at Musselburgh on Friday.

As much as I admire his riding skills it's really the stats that go along with Campbell that interest me most. Where can us punters profit from his riding skills? Where are his sweet spots? Where does the jockey need to improve before we steam in to back him?

It's still early days for Campbell Gillies but I've had a dig about for some angles that we can get stuck into -  

Favourites 

Perhaps surprisingly the jockey shows profits under all codes (Chase/Hurdle/NHF) when he is on board a favourite - 

57 rides | 26 winners | 46% S/R | +£27.80 LSP

If the money is down the stats are telling us that Campbell will get the horse home almost 50% of the time.

Impressive stats this early in his career.

Trainers 

Lucinda Russell

The bulk of his rides come from the Lucinda Russell yard and due in no small part to a 66/1 winner at Aintree a couple of season's back he does actually show a profit on all rides for the stable - 

202 rides | 29 Winners | 14% S/R | +£58.27 LSP

Despite the huge winner manipulating the stats a touch the 14% S/R is still decent. However, we can improve on this a touch by looking at only the rides he has for the yard that start at SP 6/1 or less - 

71 rides | 20 winners | 28% S/R | +£8.77 LSP

Obviously a much lower LSP but the stats are telling us that he is more than adept at getting fancied runners home in front.

Willie Amos 

The jockey possibly first sprung to the attention of many a punter as the regular pilot of Willie Amos's stable star LIE FORRIT (unfortunately currently injured).

Overall stats look pretty healthy when the 2 team up - 

57 rides | 11 winners | 19% S/R | +£128.92 LSP

The LSP is helped considerably by a 100-1 winner a 33-1 winner and a 14-1 winner suggesting that outside of the Lie Forrit rides the pairing have been considerably overlooked in the market.

M E Sowersby

For one reason or another the jockey doesn't have the greatest of records when riding for the Yorkshire based trainer - 

58 rides | 2 winners | 3% S/R | -£44.00 LSP

Not a pairing I would be looking to back anytime soon.

Tracks

There are no real strong tracks for Campbell at the moment but there are plenty of 'sub' angles at individual tracks that we should take a closer look at.

Cartmel

All Hurdle rides

16 rides | 5 winners | 31% S/R | +£6.15 LSP

Solid record and one that can be improved when looking at his Hurdle rides that start at 6/1 or shorter - 

8 rides | 5 winners | 63% S/R | +£14.15 LSP

All winners have come on his more fancied mounts, another example of him doing the business on shorter priced mounts.

Kelso

All Hurdle rides

32 rides | 5 wins | 16% S/R | +£27.00 LSP

Another solid hurdling track for the jockey but once again we can improve these stats, this time by looking at his hurdle mounts over 18 furlongs (2m2f) or shorter - 

24 rides | 5 winners | 21% S/R | +£35.00 LSP

All wins have come over the shorter trips.

Musselburgh

Young Gillies has an exceptional record with his chase mounts at the Edinburgh track - 

10 rides | 5 winners | 50% S/R | +£19.75 LSP

Quite a stat when we compare it to the record of Lucinda Russell's stable jock Peter Buchanan and his chase record at Musselburgh - 

36 rides | 2 winners | 6% S/R | -£26.67 LSP

Quite a contrast between the 2.......

Cheltenham

Not a huge amount of rides at the track to assess but he does have an interesting (if small) record in Handicap Hurdles at Prestbury Park - 

8 rides | 2 wins | 25% S/R | +£16.75 LSP

Certainly something to keep in mind....

There are also a couple of tracks that the jockey has been struggling to get to grips with - 

All rides at Newcastle

41 rides | 0 winners | 0% S/R | -£41.00 LSP

So far Gosforth Park has been anything but a happy hunting ground for Campbell.

All rides at Uttoxeter

11 rides | 0 winners | 0% S/R | -£11.00 LSP

On the face of it the record isn't that bad but if we look a bit closer we actually see that he is yet to finish any better than 7th with any of his mounts. Seems he's not quite getting to grips with the Uttoxeter lay-out.

Starting Price

As with a couple of the angle highlighted above it is again his mounts that start at the lower end of the market that interest me, specifically his ones in Handicap Chases - 

All Handicap Chases when starting at 4/1 or lower

45 rides | 16 winners | 36% S/R | +£18.00 LSP

Very healthy for someone who doesn't ride a huge amount of fancied runners.

Even more impressive is his record at getting the above group of runners home in the first 3 - 

45 rides | 35 placed | 78% top 3 S/R

78% of his 4/1 and under chase rides home in the money is a big stat. Not necessarily something we can profit from but certainly a stat that highlights the young lad burgeoning talents.

It's questionable how long Campbell Gillies will stay as second fiddle to Peter Buchanan as it's my opinion someone else will snap the young lad up sooner rather than later.

He's going places; we just have to make sure we know where to profit from his talents.

Betting School

Just a quick note to point you guys in the direction of Betting School. 

I've been writing a column for them for almost a year now I'd imagine there are still plenty of NTF readers that may not be aware of them.

There are a number of racing/betting folks that contribute to the site and plenty of video tutorials and such like to aid and abet your daily punting.

Take a look at the Betting School site for yourself, I'm sure there's something on there that will catch your eye.

Ben (NTF)