Although some will see this seven-furlong race as pretty much a sprint, the pace will be furious and many will be feeling their exertions up the hill come the final furlong.
With that in mind, some of the confirmed six-furlong types in this race are interesting but provide us with a headache handicapping-wise, while the draw plays a big part too.
As we continue to indulge in the art of betting, we had a Post Impressionist to write about earlier but could we be talking about a Silent Film after this race?
George Boughey’s runner comes into this race on a hat-trick and many will fancy him to complete it.
Trainers appear to have different ideas about what sort of horse it takes to win this race, and this is one of the confirmed sprinters in the line-up.
On straight-up handicapping and likely improvement, Inver Park is bang in with a chance. It must be said though that his best pound-for-pound runs this terms have all been over six furlongs, while he was a beaten favourite over seven.
As we’ve said before; an unbeaten and progressive William Haggas horse can never be overlooked and always has to make the list.
That said, the Yorkshireman is also very game when it comes to the big meetings and will always take his chance even when he doesn’t know if his runners have what it takes.
His Montassib is the potential handicap blot. He’s won three out of three, but his latest run was easily his best and that was achieved on soft ground.
He did win on good to firm at Wetherby, but that was in a very small race which was easy for him and so conditions here just provide a small doubt about him being 100%.
Path Of Thunder
Charlie Appleby has two huge chances in this race, both drawn near the rail. Sound familiar?
This time around it’s Path Of Thunder that is ridden by James Doyle, though he does carry Godolphin’s first-choice colours which is interesting.
An experienced gelding, there wouldn’t be very much more to come from Path Of Thunder but his form is rock-solid and this is very much his ideal trip.
Silent Film’s form is hard to read, but is very intriguing indeed.
He has done it in Britain, beating the highly-rated Run To Freedom last year as a three-year-old. He has excelled this season though in the Middle East, possibly due to faster ground and warmer conditions, both of which he’ll get at Ascot this week.
He clocked some very good speed figures when winning a handicap in Dubai in January, but bettered that with a win in the Al Sakhir Cup in Bahrain in February.
While we don’t want to take the form too literally, he was a half-length ahead of King’s Knight in Bahrain giving him fully 17lbs in weight, 21lbs including the jockey’s claim, and that horse is now rated 92 in Britain.
The thought is that he is that good if not better, putting him somewhere around the 110-115 mark now, so off 105 here and from a good draw he has an outstanding chance.
Tactical provides Andrew Balding with another chance to train a Royal Ascot winner for the Queen and of course in this case, the horse has been and done it all before.
The Toronado colt won the Windsor Castle Stakes here in 2020, going on to win at Group 2 level as a juvenile and at Listed level as a three-year-old.
He hasn’t hit those heights since, but remains consistent and competitive. He had wind surgery this year and has only run once since, but we can expect him to have been prepped to perfection for this and seven furlongs is his game.
Tanmawwy is interesting, but very much represents the sprinting angle.
He’s won three times from four so far, all over six furlongs while being beaten over seven. He is trained by Charlie Hills who is great with speedballs, and is by former champion sprinter Invincible Sprit too.
We’ll put our money where are mouths are and say those with some proven seven-furlong and one-mile form will fair best in this race.
Of that bunch, Montassib remains of great interest for William Haggas but there is a slight worry about the ground for him.
The safer play is SILENT FILM who, on a line through at least one horse from his Bahrain victory in February, could be very well handicapped and has conditions in his favour.