Sandringham Stakes Betting Tips

Sandringham Stakes Betting Tips

The straight mile, fast ground and fully 29 unexposed fillies tearing up the track make this yet another very tough betting heat.

They will all be backed to some degree, but this will be about handling the conditions and being better handicapped than the rest which leads is to put forward the following six possible winners: 

Main Contenders

Crenelle 

John and Thady Gosden’s filly carries the first-choice colours of Juddmonte with Frankie Dettori on board and her credentials are obvious.

Taking a step back and keeping things simple; there is no way she will finish this season as a 92-rated horse if she remains fit so the ‘well handicapped’ box is ticked.

In terms of the ground, there is conflicting information. She wasn’t great on debut on Tapeta but won on good ground at Newmarket next up, narrowly ahead of subsequent Listed winner Fonteyn, now rated 101.

It was fast when she ran last time in the Pretty Polly when she took a backward step, though it’s possible that was as much to do with the 1m2f trip.

Heredia 

Heredia is unbeaten in three and is definitely progressing, but she’s not been winning by far so it’s hard to say when the rest will catch up with her. She did well to win last time, but again it was a narrow victory and she is up 7lbs in the handicap.

She’s good, but she is very short in the market and you’d be brave if you could confidently say she can give 6lbs to Crenelle to name one, while also taking a shorter price about her.

Invigilate

This filly carries Juddmonte’s second-choice colours, but don’t read too much into that.

Sir Michael Stoute’s runner is drawn right up the near side rail and has shown as much speed as any filly in this line-up with the promise of more to come.

She improved hand over fist in three starts last season before starting off with just an OK second to Washraa this term. Sir Michael tends to start them quietly before peaking them for the big day and we can expect much better this time.

The daughter of Acclamation may be anything up to 10lbs ahead of her handicap mark which is what is required, while she is one who will also relish the fast pace.

Persist 

A Cheveley Park filly, a William Haggas runner, a daughter of Frankel. There is a lot to like on paper about Persist. She is also a last time out winner so isn’t on this list just because she’s been given a leg-up by her background.

Persist is drawn in the middle and was slowly away when winning at Redcar last time, two things that stick in the mind and add a hint of doubt.

She is likely significantly better than her handicap rating however, fast ground seems fine and the stiff mile should also play to her strengths.

Washraa 

While we reckon there will be so much more to come from Invigilate, given that Washraa beat her last time she couldn’t be left off this list.

In her four runs since debut, she has finished second to Harry Three and Zanbaq and won twice which all bodes well.

On the flip side, she was fully race fit when facing Invigilate last time and has only improved around 7lbs in those four runs, meaning a sudden leap forward may be required to ensure she stays ahead of the assessors.

Zanbaq  

After a winning debut last year, Zanbaq was quietly mentioned in some quarters as a potential 1000 Guineas filly. She may not be that good frankly, but it’s worth keeping in mind.

Indeed, she began her season on Guineas weekend with a good third behind the highly rated Mrs Fitzherbert, rated 105, and Bashkirova who won a Group 3 and is rated 106.

She was a three-year-old against older horses there too, though at 99 she may be ranked correctly, and she’s been allowed to just win a simple race in her own time to put her straight and there may be more to come from her.

Summary

Roger Varian’s Zanbaq may prove to be at least Listed quality, but a number of others in this race will be too and may be getting in off lighter marks than Jim Crowley’s mount.

Juddmonte may hold the key, with Crenelle their first choice however INVIGILATE isn’t far behind her, if at all, is well drawn and gets in off a mark some 10lbs lower.


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