Sandringham Stakes Betting Tips

Sandringham Stakes Betting Tips

What could be simpler than picking out the winner from 29 improving, unfinished three-year-old fillies running the width of Ascot? It’s some task for sure.

There had been a pattern developing. In 2018-2020, each winner had run 3-6 times, were first or second last time out and rated 81-88. It may be that there’s been a shift, however.

In 2021, the winning filly had again been a last-time-out winner who’d run four times, but this time was rated 97. She went on to win a Group 3.

Last time, Heredia was very well backed to win. She again had run three times, was unbeaten, rated 98 and went on to race in Group company. We went for Zanbaq who only just failed, herself a thrice-raced filly rated 99 who won a subsequent Listed event.

We reckon then, especially on this quick ground, that the classy fillies can come to the fore. We won’t rule the others out however, these being our six highlighted horses: 

Main Contenders

Chelsea Green

In the past we’ve seen the likes of Real World and Calyx defy their far side draws at Ascot, there was another such example on Wednesday with Jimi Hendrix, and we reckon this Chelsea Green is flying the flag for the lower numbers.

She can reach a mark close to 100 we reckon, so getting in here off 89 gives her a great chance but not only is the stands side appreciably quicker, the better horses are there too so she’s at a disadvantage for Hugo Palmer.

Coppice

There are two particular fillies on the list we thought could be 1000 Guineas contenders this season, the first being Coppice for John & Thady Gosden.

The Juddmonte filly is two from three now and after an easy novice win at Newcastle and she’s ready to fulfil her potential.

We think she ran 100 in reality at Newcastle and did so with minimal fuss, meaning 105 or even 110 is possible now. Her opening mark is just 97.

That’s subjective, but what we do know is she ran to around 97 on debut back in the autumn as a juvenile and you can check the averages for yourself regarding how much such fillies improve in that amount of time.

She’s well in, classy, and drawn on the right side of the track.

Dream Of Love

Dream Of Love was sent to the 1000 Guineas after running a great trial in Dubai. She was only very narrowly beaten by Mawj, subsequent Guineas heroine, after giving her the length of the straight as a head start and almost reeling her in. She was favourite to beat her as well.

She disappointed in the German Guineas afterwards and the Dubai race was on soft ground, which is why enthusiasm is tempered, but she is one of a number of fillies representing trainers who probably wish they’d taken on Tahiyra in the Coronation Stakes now with Mawj out. She retains plenty of potential well above her handicap mark of 103.

Jackie Oh

Another drawn up the near side is Aidan O’Brien’s Jackie Oh who of course commands plenty of respect.

She was fifth to Tahiyra at the Curragh and had form in a couple of good novice races before that on heavy ground.

Her Group 1 form is decent, but she was dragged along by class fillies to achieve that position which makes her handicapped about right. She needs to take a step forward.

Ma Belle Artiste 

Joseph O’Brien’s filly comes into this as a last time out winner and she retains plenty of potential to improve. On the downside; she only just got there at Killarney with her opening handicap of 91 decent, but no gimme.

Marksman Queen

John & Thady Gosden really have arrived this week with plenty of strong handicap options, another being their Marksman Queen.

She’s only raced on the all-weather so far but as a Dubawi should thrive in these conditions. She two from three, rated 86 and capable of a bit better.

Summary

The one leaving us taking a leap of faith at the moment is Dream Of Love who has undoubted potential.

If she wanted the soft ground she got in Dubai, this is no good for her. If however the pace she showed that day can be utilised better up the Ascot straight then she can go well.

Jackie Oh brings some Classic form to the mix, but beaten Classic form whereas COPPICE could yet get to the top level herself and is running off only 97. The handicap mark alone makes her backable, while there are plenty of other things to recommend her on.


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