Cesarewitch Handicap Betting Tips

Cesarewitch Handicap Betting Tips

You have to love the Cesarewitch. Planted right in the middle of Future Champions Weekend, this 2-miile, 2-furlong slog is so different to the rest of Newmarket’s card. It also forms the second part of the famed ‘Autumn Double’ of big betting handicaps alongside the Cambridgeshire.

We don’t have a maximum field this time around, though there are 23 of them going for a £103,000 first prize.

As usual, there is a mix of crack Flat handicappers and those trained by jumps handlers, with these six being the ones we’ve taken against the field: 

Main Contenders

Ahorsewithnoname

The clear favourite in this race, Nicky Henderson’s Ahorsewithnoname has the assistance of Ryan Moore and the combo is bound to be a very popular one.

When last seen on the track, the seven-year-old took apart a handicap field at York over two miles but he has gone up 10lbs in the handicap since then.

There’s plenty to like of course, but he is a little skinny in the market and we don’t know whether or not the handicapper has him.

Favorite Moon

An easy hurdle winner last time out, Favorite Moon has done well on the Flat but hung a little when last seen at Galway.

He hovers around the same handicap mark it seems and puts in solid and consistent performances, the sort that see him shortlisted, but in truth he may need to take a sudden step forward to win a race of this nature.

HMS President

It could be some day for Georgia Dobie is the admirably consistent HMS President puts it all together.

The five-year-old has run second in each of his last four races, ridden by Dobie in one of them, with the issue being that he isn’t really progressing at this stage and so has been collared by the assessors.

This race is so different from any other though and it could be that it unlocks something from within him. He certainly has the toughness to go well.

Scaramanga  

Scaramanga has been switched from Paul Nicholls’ yard to that of Willie Mullins who has booked Jason Watson for this ride.

Up to last spring his form had been progressive overall, but in more recent times it hasn’t been so hot. The hope then is that his change of scenery can do the trick, meaning he’d be showing up well handicapped.

Vino Victorix

Unlike many in this field, Vino Victrix is a pretty lightly-raced four-year-old and that has positive and negative connotations. True, he is inexperienced, but he is also improving and there’s no doubt he has his very best days ahead of him.

Though his stylish win last time out was at Goodwood and this test will be very different, he is trained by a man in Hughie Morrison who knows what’s required and it would be no surprise at all to see him go very close.

Zoffee

We were very surprised to see 16/1 offered about Zoffee when the declarations came through on Thursday.

Hugo Palmer’s six-year-old has a great profile for this race. At this age, Zoffee is battle-hardened and can handle the big occasion, yet he’s only had 14 turf runs on the Flat and is still getting better.

His form figures this season read 31373, the 7 being at Glorious Goodwood and the latest third being in a £100,000 race at York.

Furthermore, in that Knavesmire race he was dreadfully unlucky in his run in behind Alfred Boucher, being repeatedly denied a clear passage. He is a good few pounds better than his official mark and improving all the time, giving him a big chance in this race for Hugo Palmer and Ebor winning jockey Frankie Dettori who looks for a big staying handicap double.

Summary

It’s fair to say that with Flat placings of 311/11, being trained by Nicky Henderson and being ridden by Ryan Moore, Ahorsewithnoname is the obvious favourite but to be fair he does have a genuine chance.

He’s poor value in truth, while Vino Victrix will find Newmarket different to Goodwood but he won well last time and is trained by a proper trainer in Hughie Morrison so can go close.

It’s hard to get away from the chances of ZOFFEE in truth, while his price is a real bonus. He’s been unlucky but is due a clear passage, so it’s easy to see Frankie Dettori weave a passage through and get the job done.


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