Greatwood Handicap Hurdle Betting Tips

Greatwood Handicap Hurdle Betting Tips

The £100,000 Greatwood Hurdle always promises to give us a massive challenge as so many trainers bring well handicapped horses to it, and boy this renewal does just that.

Not many of those handlers see the race as a proper Champion Hurdle trial however as many attempt to win it from the bottom of the weights.

We’ve chipped away at the 16-runner field to narrow it down to six runners, all of which have some sort of each-way chance.

Main Contenders

Dads Lad 

A lot has been said in the last year and a half about the relative handicap marks handed out by British and Irish assessors.

Although very capable and with undoubted support in the betting market, it’s the official rating handed to Dads Lad that gives us doubts in this race.

Although chasing in between, Willie Mullins’ runner has been disappointing over hurdles since winning a year ago at Cork and he is a hard one to judge accurately.

Gin Coco

Harry Fry could come to the party with his Gin Coco here, a six-year-old gelding with just five runs in public to his name.

His age and inexperience could make him go either way in such a competitive race as this. He could prove to be really progressive and perhaps make a mockery of his current handicap rating, or he could find things a little too tough in the rumble and tumble which may knock his confidence.

On the one hand, his best run was in a competitive 25-runner race at Punchestown so that bodes well. However he was a beaten favourite in that race which was sandwiched between two very easy wins in smaller fields which is why there are some doubts.

I Like To Move It

On this card last year, I Like To Move It landed the Grade 2 Supreme Novices’ Trial and it’s not as though he’s gone backwards.

We’re dealing with a classy type then and since he has finished a close second in a competitive Grade 3 handicap hurdle at Newbury, showing he can handle the hustle.

He’s climbing the ladder and although shouldering top weight in a race of this nature usually signals the death knell, he’s the quickest horse in the line-up which counts for a lot on this sort of ground and especially so on the Old Course. He may just be able to outclass this line-up under Sam Twiston-Davies.

Severance 

We know plenty about Severance as this is now Ben Pauling’s eleventh start over hurdles. He definitely has ability and gets fully 13lbs from I Like To Move It which is the positive thing about his profile, however there are doubts.

He is by Nathaniel and it could be argued that his breeding suggests a bigger test would be ideal. That is backed up somewhat by the fact that he one and only hurdle win, on debut, was achieved on heavy ground so it may be that this race is basically over before he gets into top gear. He remains one to watch over the winter.

Sonigino 

Paul Nicholls, a very fine trainer and multiple champion anyway, is having a great old time at the moment with his team winning races left, right and centre.

His Sonigino then can be expected to be at his best and based on what we know so far, that best would definitely give him a chance.

After joining Nicholls from France, he ran in five hurdles last season without winning. After that he had a breathing operation and won twice in October, improving big style and scoring easily.

Both of those wins were at Chepstow so he does need to transfer his skills to this track, which is probably the only potential negative factor showing up in his profile.

Thousand Tears 

Based on his past form, his speed and his official handicap mark, Thousand Tears wouldn’t be showing up too highly on our list.

Emmet Mullins’ runner though has just about halved in price this week so clearly something big is expected by the team making him one to keep an eye on at least.

Summary

There is just a chance that this year’s Greatwood could indeed become a Champion Hurdle trial of sorts, if that is the topweight can win it. We reckon he can, so the tentative selection is Nigel Twiston-Davies’ runner I LIKE TO MOVE IT.

With a rating of 142 last season’s Supreme Trial scorer has a way to go to be considered a Champion Hurdle contender, but it’s bound to be in the back of his trainer’s mind as he does have class and likes it here.

It was a close call this time, Severance, Sonigino and Gin Coco all coming very close to being the one picked so do go ahead and get whatever each-way value you can out of those runners.


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