Kensington Palace Stakes Betting Tips

Kensington Palace Stakes Betting Tips

We’re on the round mile for the closing race on day two, as the fillies and mares fight for another £100,000 prize pot.

A maximum field of 20 has been declared and, unsurprisingly, our entire six-horse shortlist is made up of improving four-year-olds. Even within that distinct group, these fillies are hard to separate but one does just stand out.

Main Contenders

Farhh To Shy

It’s been a long old time since we regularly saw rider Tom Queally riding in Group races for Sir Henry Cecil, most notably on Frankel of course, but he has a chance of a Royal Ascot winner here aboard Farhh To Shy.

Farhh To Shy was fifth on debut as a 28/1 shot and stumbled when finishing fourth at Yarmouth last September. Aside from that, she has never been out of the first two as yet and has a very progressive profile.

She thrived on her racing last season so we’re expecting her to come forward a fair bit for her 2022 seasonal debut, though that run was impressive enough.

Over seven furlongs at Doncaster in April, Farhh To Shy beat two recent winners and an impressive subsequent one. She’s getting better all the time, has been given time to improve at home and will love the step up to a mile.

Haziya 

After two very good runs in Ireland this season, Haziya was bought by Qatar Racing who clearly believe she has a bright future.

Her win in April was her best run, though she was sent off favourite next time at the Curragh where she finished a fair third.

There will surely be more to come, but fast ground and her handicap mark of 86 are the main worries.

Improvised

Improvised is the sort of filly who can make us all look daft should she win and we don’t back her!

That is because, strictly on the numbers, she is officially 10lbs well in and that’s not accounting for any potential improvement from her.

When the weights for this race were announced, Improvised was rated 84 and can run off that mark. Since then, she has run a cracker in Listed company at Musselburgh, the handicapper reassessing her and making her a 94 horse.

She has done her best work over six and seven furlongs thus far however and it may be that 94 would actually flatter her also.

Pretty Sweet

Both trainer George Boughey and jockey William Buick can now be described as crack performers on the big day and the combo will be once again well backed.

Their Pretty Sweet is coming along nicely overall and seems well handicapped, which is principally why she’s on the shortlist.

We acknowledge however that all of her best work has been done on the all-weather to date and she wasn’t so hot last time out.

Spirit Of The Bay

Clive Cox’s Spirit Of The Bay isn’t bounding up the rankings, but she does have recent experience of Ascot and it’s good experience as well.

In a valuable race on the straight mile last month, the daughter of Cable Bay followed Soft Whisper home and if she hadn’t drifted right towards the end she would surely have won.

She has gone up 3lbs for that, but would it have been more if she had actually got her head in front?

State Occasion 

Nowadays the all-weather form seems to translate very well to turf and this filly appears to just take any surface type in her stride.

A promoted winner last time at Chelmsford, she was second at Ascot and third twice at Newmarket late last season and has form with some pretty decent types over the past year or so.

Despite not passing the post first at Chelmsford 18 days ago, she has been raised 5lbs by the handicapper which may just make things a little too hard for her. Rossa Ryan rides.

Summary

Despite the main challengers all being four-year-old fillies, our top three come at this from very different angles.

Haziya has good recent form in Ireland, but may either improve or regress for the faster ground which remains an unknown.

Improvised is officially very well in and that may yet mean plenty, but this is a different type of race and a different trip to what she’s used to.

With that in mind, the solid one is FARHH TO SHY. She has a most progressive profile and is the most likely to have things in her favour on the day.


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